CD Amiense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Amiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 1
POR
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
9 - 0
CDA
84%
12%
4%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 1
UFT
10%
19%
72%
|
11 | 50 | 39 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
CDA
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 3
COR
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
BEN
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 1
BEN
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |