CD Algar vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Algar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EFA
1 - 2
CDA
10%
19%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 1
BAL
45%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MME
1 - 1
CDA
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALG
3 - 3
CDA
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 1
OLI
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 1
ROL
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
7 - 0
LOR
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
LOR
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
EFA
1 - 2
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |