CD Algar vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Algar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 1
ALG
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
CDA
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CDA
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CDA
3 - 1
CDB
64%
19%
16%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
ARC
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
32%
21%
46%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
EEP
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
YEC
0 - 0
VIL
27%
22%
50%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
CIE
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |