CD Alfaro vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALF
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
4 - 0
CAL
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 0
ALF
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 2
CDC
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 3
OYO
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALB
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OYO
3 - 1
VIL
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 4
CDC
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
UDL
7 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |