CD Alfaro vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
AGO
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 1
ALF
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
RIV
84%
12%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
ALF
10%
17%
74%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 4
HAR
6%
14%
80%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 1
VIL
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARN
38%
25%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDF
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |