CD Alfaro vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 0
ALF
10%
18%
72%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 3
RIV
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 2
ALF
17%
22%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
SMC
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SDL
2 - 1
ALF
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIA
29%
26%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
OYO
22%
25%
53%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |