CD Alfaro vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 0
CAS
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 0
CDF
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
YAG
0 - 3
ALF
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 2
UDL
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAR
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VIA
0 - 1
VAR
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 5
ALA
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAR
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
CDC
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |