Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
CD Alfaro vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SDA
1 - 1
ALF
17%
25%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
ALF
3 - 0
RIV
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
TUD
1 - 3
ALF
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ALF
3 - 1
CDC
89%
9%
2%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
BER
2 - 1
ALF
26%
27%
47%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
TUD
1 - 1
BUR
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
CDB
0 - 4
TUD
22%
24%
53%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
TUD
1 - 3
ALF
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
VAL
0 - 1
TUD
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
TUD
2 - 2
CDB
87%
10%
3%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |