CD Alfaro vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 1
AMU
37%
28%
36%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALF
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ALF
0 - 1
LOG
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ALF
2 - 2
LOG
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 2
ALF
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RUN
2 - 0
AVI
67%
21%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 0
GIM
28%
30%
42%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CDO
3 - 0
AVI
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 2
RCF
14%
23%
62%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RSO
3 - 0
AVI
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |