CD Alfaro vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALF
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ALF
0 - 3
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 4
ALF
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDG
2 - 1
ALF
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 1
PON
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 0
PON
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PON
0 - 0
AMU
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 2
PON
48%
28%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |