CD Alfaro vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
RCF
1 - 0
ALF
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
OSA
0 - 1
ALF
41%
30%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ALF
3 - 0
RSO
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAU
0 - 0
ALF
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALF
3 - 0
PEÑ
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 2
RUN
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 1
CDO
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LOG
1 - 0
CDO
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 1
RCF
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 1
CDO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |