CD Alfaro vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 0
ALF
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ALF
3 - 1
ULP
33%
29%
38%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 2
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
ALF
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ALF
0 - 1
PPJ
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 0
PPJ
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
LOR
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAN
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |