CD Alfaro vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
12º
11º
7
1º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
8 | 69 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 59 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 56 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 54 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 40 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 35 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 34 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
ALF
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 0
ALF
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 2
ALF
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 2
OYO
62%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IZA
4 - 0
RSO
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 2
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 1
NUM
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
EJE
3 - 1
IZA
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |