CD Alfaro vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALF
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 2
AGO
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAX
3 - 1
ALF
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 4
ALF
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
BAL
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 4
SDL
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 3
CDF
17%
23%
60%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 2
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
3 - 2
CLH
18%
24%
59%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TED
0 - 3
CDF
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |