CD Alfaro vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
UDF
1 - 0
ALF
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
2 - 3
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 2
DBN
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
AGU
37%
27%
35%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEC
0 - 2
MER
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
PPJ
51%
27%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
5 - 2
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NAV
2 - 0
MER
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |