CD Alfaro vs Beasain KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
18º
15º
39
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
2 - 1
ALF
58%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 3
TAR
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IZA
2 - 0
ALF
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
TUD
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SES
2 - 1
ALF
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 0
CFB
34%
29%
37%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
4 - 2
BEA
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
BEA
68%
21%
12%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 3
UDM
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |