CD Alfaro vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CLH
1 - 1
ALF
70%
20%
11%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ALF
0 - 3
FIG
19%
26%
55%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
EIB
0 - 0
ALF
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ALF
1 - 0
BIN
29%
30%
41%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ALF
3 - 0
OBE
64%
21%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FCB
3 - 0
LOG
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 3
FCB
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
75%
15%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
HUE
0 - 3
FCB
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |