CD Alfaro vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 0
ALF
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALF
0 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LOG
0 - 2
ALF
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LOG
1 - 2
ALF
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALF
1 - 0
RUN
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
LOG
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALF
0 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 1
RUN
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
BAR
45%
30%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
CDO
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |