CD Alfaro vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LAN
4 - 0
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
0 - 0
CAR
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CIU
0 - 1
ALF
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
LPA
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ATB
2 - 1
ALF
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 0
LOR
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VEC
2 - 0
NAV
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
NAV
2 - 3
PPJ
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ULP
4 - 2
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LAN
0 - 2
NAV
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |