CD Alconchel vs Peña el Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
62.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alconchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OUD
5 - 0
ALC
53%
20%
27%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 4
BAD
12%
17%
71%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
APS
3 - 0
ALC
65%
18%
18%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 5
OBA
19%
20%
61%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 3
ALC
60%
19%
21%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peña el Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PVA
2 - 0
OUD
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 1
PVA
60%
21%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PVA
2 - 3
APS
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OBA
2 - 0
PVA
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PVA
2 - 1
VAL
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |