CD Alconchel vs Ciudad Villanueva Fresno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+143%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alconchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VRE
3 - 1
ALC
63%
18%
20%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
PVA
18%
19%
63%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OUD
5 - 0
ALC
53%
20%
27%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 4
BAD
12%
17%
71%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
APS
3 - 0
ALC
65%
18%
18%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad Villanueva Fresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 3
PVA
26%
21%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 1
VFR
61%
19%
21%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
BAD
14%
17%
70%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
APS
3 - 0
VFR
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
OBA
24%
20%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |