CD Alameda MESA Sub 19 vs CD Toledo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
16º
10º
6
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
4 | 72 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 70 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 67 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 55 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 49 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 43 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 43 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 34 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alameda MESA Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
40%
22%
39%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 2
JES
67%
17%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ODE
0 - 5
ALA
29%
21%
49%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
CFT
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 3
ALA
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
SPO
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALM
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
TOL
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
EFF
70%
16%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
TOL
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |