CDB Base vs Carranza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
63.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.8%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDB Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TRC
4 - 3
BBA
62%
19%
19%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FUT
0 - 7
BBA
41%
20%
39%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
BBA
4 - 2
UDS
42%
21%
38%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AAL
5 - 3
BBA
62%
18%
20%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BBA
1 - 3
CDA
14%
16%
71%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
EFC
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PBT
4 - 1
CAR
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
ACA
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
CAR
35%
20%
45%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALG
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |