CD Cazalegas vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cazalegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ADA
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VRU
1 - 0
CAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TAR
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CSP
3 - 0
CAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAZ
0 - 2
CDT
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 2
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STM
0 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIU
3 - 0
STM
39%
25%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STM
0 - 0
SDA
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 3
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |