Cayón vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BEZ
0 - 1
CAY
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAY
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REV
0 - 0
CAY
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
CAY
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
4 - 0
SEL
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 1
LAR
10%
19%
70%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +3 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 1
SEL
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 1
NAV
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TEX
6 - 2
SEL
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |