Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 0
CAY
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CUL
2 - 2
CAY
28%
26%
47%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAY
1 - 0
SDT
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 1
CAY
23%
25%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
TEX
0 - 2
CAY
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
REV
1 - 3
TEX
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
REV
4 - 0
RIB
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 1
REV
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
REV
1 - 1
ALB
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
SOL
0 - 3
REV
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |