Cayón vs SD Solares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
1º
25
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAY
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAY
4 - 0
SIE
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
CAY
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 0
SDT
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SD Solares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 1
MAR
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
REV
2 - 2
SOL
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 3
ALB
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 3
CUL
31%
27%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 1
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |