Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Cayón vs Cirbonero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAY
0 - 2
LAR
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 3
CAY
10%
22%
69%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAY
3 - 0
NAV
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TEX
2 - 2
CAY
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAY
4 - 2
ESC
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
SJU
1 - 0
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
HUA
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 2
ATL
17%
24%
60%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
CDB
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |