Cayón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAY
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAY
3 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAY
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAY
2 - 2
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAY
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAM
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 3
CUL
14%
21%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAS
83%
13%
4%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 4
GIM
8%
18%
74%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |