Cayón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAY
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAY
1 - 0
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 1
CAY
21%
24%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAY
2 - 0
ESC
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAY
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIM
11%
22%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALB
53%
26%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
RAY
4 - 0
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SEL
1 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |