Cayón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 1
CAY
32%
27%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAY
3 - 2
ESC
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAY
22%
26%
53%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAY
1 - 2
SIE
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 0
CAY
24%
26%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
GIM
12%
21%
67%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
TEX
40%
26%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 1
CAS
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESC
23%
24%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |