Cayon vs St. Pauls United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
3º
3º
1
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
1 | 7 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
1 | 5 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 4 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 0 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
CAY
3 - 1
ORJ
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
CAY
5 - 2
STP
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 1
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 5
CAY
14%
18%
69%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauls United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
STP
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
CAY
5 - 2
STP
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 3
STP
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 0
STP
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
STP
2 - 2
ORJ
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |