Rizespor vs İstanbul Başakşehir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
16º
14º
10
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 68 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 60 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 56 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 54 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 51 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 47 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 45 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 44 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 43 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
18º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 13% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rizespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIZ
2 - 2
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HKR
3 - 4
RIZ
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 2
RIZ
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 0
RIZ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 0
RIZ
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 1
IST
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 4
IST
19%
25%
55%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
IST
6 - 1
FIO
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 2
IST
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 6
IST
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |