Çayelispor vs Türk Metal 1963 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+869%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
14º
8º
20
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 58 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 18 |
16º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
26% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
IKG
1 - 2
CAY
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 0
ASK
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NSG
1 - 1
CAY
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
3 - 2
BIS
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAY
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Türk Metal 1963
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
YAS
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 0
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
SIL
18%
23%
60%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KEL
2 - 1
TUR
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
USA
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |