Çayelispor vs Tire 2021 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+1133%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
7º
22
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
53% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
YAS
3 - 1
CAY
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAY
0 - 3
MUL
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SIL
2 - 1
CAY
61%
23%
17%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 1
CAY
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 0
USA
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Tire 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MUL
1 - 0
TIR
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TIR
1 - 3
SIL
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
KEL
0 - 1
TIR
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
TIR
81%
11%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TIR
3 - 2
FAT
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +4 |