Caxias do Sul vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAX
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 4
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
JEC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
YPI
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 1
GRE
10%
21%
69%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ECS
1 - 2
YPI
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
4 - 2
CAX
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +2 |