Série D Brazil Ronda final Last 16
Global 4-0
Caxias do Sul vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CAX
57%
26%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 0
POR
31%
29%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 1
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAX
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 1
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
URO
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
URO
2 - 0
BOA
27%
29%
44%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
URO
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
URO
0 - 1
GOI
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 3
URO
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |