Caxias do Sul vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SLU
1 - 2
CAX
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CAX
2 - 2
CAN
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CAX
2 - 1
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
ECS
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
3 - 1
SAP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAP
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |