Caxias do Sul vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
7%
17%
77%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
IPA
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IPA
3 - 1
CAX
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAS
0 - 3
SAO
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
5 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
IPA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |