Caxias do Sul vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
14%
24%
62%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
0 - 2
JUV
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CAX
4 - 2
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 0
CAX
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
CAX
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
PEL
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GRE
5 - 0
SLU
88%
9%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 1
SLU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
ECS
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
SLU
2 - 1
ECA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |