Caxias do Sul vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 0
CAX
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
CAX
1 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VER
0 - 0
CAX
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 2
ECS
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SLU
4 - 1
CRU
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SCI
0 - 0
SLU
84%
13%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SLU
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
SLU
2 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VER
1 - 0
SLU
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |