Caxias do Sul vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
1 - 1
CAX
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 0
PEL
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
SLU
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUB
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |