Caxias do Sul vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAX
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 2
SCI
16%
27%
57%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
AIM
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
AIM
1 - 1
CAX
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ECS
2 - 2
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
MIR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |