Caxias do Sul vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAX
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SCI
3 - 0
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 2
VER
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |