Caxias do Sul vs Porto Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAX
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CAX
3 - 0
ISM
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VER
0 - 3
CAX
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAX
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 0
CRU
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
ECS
22%
22%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
LAJ
4 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
POR
4 - 3
SLU
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
CAN
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
YPI
2 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |