Caxias do Sul vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 0
PEL
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 9
PEL
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |