Caxias do Sul vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAX
21%
23%
55%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 0
CAX
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 2
JUV
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 2
YPI
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 2
IRA
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PEL
1 - 0
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
PEL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |