Caxias do Sul vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 2
SLU
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
25%
30%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
TUB
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
SLU
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
NOV
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -2 |