Caxias do Sul vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 0
CAX
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAX
0 - 1
SCI
15%
26%
60%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAX
4 - 0
BRA
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 2
CAX
41%
28%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 1
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SLU
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |