Caxias do Sul vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 2
CAX
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
13%
25%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
GRE
14%
24%
63%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
YPI
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 1
ESP
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
PPE
13%
23%
64%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 0
NOV
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
SLU
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |